Oddsmaking for tonight’s debate

Chance Obama mentions Romney’s proposed tax cut on rich people more than five times: 1-3
Chance Obama mentions that his own payroll tax cut is about to expire: 7-1 (unless in context of GOP refusing to extend, then 1-1)
Chance Obama mentions sequestration: 1-1
Chance Obama mentions cap-and-trade: 22-1
Chance Obama mentions “the Romney/Ryan plan”: 1-1
Chance Romney says Ben Bernanke should be fired: 4-1
Chance Romney refers to “qualitative easing” or “QE3” dismissively without explaining what they are: 3-2
Chance Romney refers to his “bucket” proposal for removing itemized deductions, which is actually not the worst idea in the world: 2-1
Chance Romney mischaracterizes said proposal to make it seem more advantageous than it is: 1-2
Chance Romney explains why low tax rates on rich people will create jobs in anything approaching specifics: 37-1
Chance Romney tries to go for a Reaganesque “there you go again” moment: 1-1
Chance it works: 43-1
Over/under on number of times Romney laughs nervously: 23
Over/under on number of times Romney looks terrified: 7
Over/under on number of times Romney mentions Fast and Furious: 11
Over/under on number of times Romney mentions Romneycare: 1
Over/under on number of times Obama says “47 percent”: 19
Over/under on number of times Obama says “uh”: 124
Over/under on number of times Sean Hannity says that Obama’s “uhs” are proof he is not fit to be President: 392

(and yes, I will be liveblogging the debate tonight, after numerous requests)

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