The new ARG poll of New Hampshire is out, and Clinton is spiralling. She’s dropped from 35 percent to 26, a nine-point drop (or better than a quarter of her support) in two days. Obama, predictably, has jumped from 31 to 38 percent in the same timeframe, but what’s just as notable is that John Edwards has gained five points (from 15 to 20) at the same time. The same trends, albeit in smaller amounts, show up in the Rasmussen poll from yesterday.
There exists a chance – a small chance, but a chance – that Clinton could come in third in New Hampshire. (I don’t think she has a chance of winning it outright at this point.) If she does, Edwards becomes the alternative to Obama and it’s essentially a two-man race.
(As for the Republicans, it’s less interesting: McCain is the man to beat, Romney hasn’t lost any ground and Huckabee got a small bump from Iowa but not nearly what I think people expected.)