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mygif

Carson is a Base candidate, but his support has mostly withered, either because he’s a loon even by the standards of the current GOP or because push is now coming to shove and the Base tends towards being horribly racist.

And his campaign is one giant direct-mail scam. Don’t forget that! I doubt he could have ever won, but I suspect a hypothetical Carson campaign that wasn’t organized around the central guiding principle of lining his campaign managers’ pockets would at least be doing better.

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mygif

I reckon Trump’s rise in the polls means that he’s the GOP’s drunken fling. I keep expecting the party to sober up and go out with somebody who’s more sane. That’s the hope.

President Trump? *brrrrrrrrrr* I don’t care if we wind up with a Democratic president that falls into a coma two days after inauguration . . . it would still be a better deal than “The Donald.”

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mygif

FiveThirtyEight had a good piece on how candidate Trump probably won’t hurt the Republicans long term, but President Trump has a god chance of destroying the party. (The summary is that bad nominees are inconsequential, but bad presidents can be catastrophic)

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mygif

Think this fails to mention the very similar problem the Democratic party has on its hands: Bernie winning the nomination could very well lead to Mike Bloomberg running as an Independent, paving the way for President… nope, not even going to remotely tempt fate.

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mygif

Given that I’ve never even heard of Mike Bloomberg, I’m not too worried that he could devastate the Democratic Party. :)

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mygif

I think that you’re underestimating the Donald’s ceiling: first choice Bernie, Second choice Trump people are real and out there, for some reason. I don’t think that he can do other than lose a blowout as the Republican candidate, but I wouldn’t dismiss the possibility of his doing more than just being a mere spoiler in a 3-way race.

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mygif

Bloomberg was mayor of New York for twelve years, able to wriggle out of the two-term limit. Kinda like Rudy Giuliani, but not as punchable. Or tall. He’s rich as hell, so he could make a Perot-style run if he wanted.

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mygif

“A Trump candidacy won’t destroy America, but it could do a lot of damage to the Republicans.”

Soooooo the Trump candidacy is a GOOD thing ?!??!

You just blew my mind and several bystanders were hurt by the shockwave.

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mygif

John, I agree with your analysis completely. It’s exactly my take on the campaign, and what I’ve been telling friends and family. Except that you have neglected to mention how hilarious it all is.

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mygif

zippy8: There’s a lot of room between “destroy America” and “not hurt America”

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mygif

I think that you’re underestimating the Donald’s ceiling: first choice Bernie, Second choice Trump people are real and out there, for some reason. I don’t think that he can do other than lose a blowout as the Republican candidate, but I wouldn’t dismiss the possibility of his doing more than just being a mere spoiler in a 3-way race.

This is technically correct but not very meaningful. First choice Bernie, Second choice Trump people are real and out there, true, but so are moon landing deniers. Neither exist in significant numbers, though. Source.

Six percent of all voters said they would consider voting for both men… Among all voters, just 4 percent said both Trump and Sanders would be either great or good. If you expand that to include average, just 15 percent said both would be at least average.

And if Trump does run as a third-party candidate, I can’t imagine that hurting the Democrats more than the Republicans, even if the Dems nominate Clinton. He has run and done well in actual Republican primaries so far. His supporters in the general as an independent would mostly come from people who have already voted for him.

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